• 中国计算机学会会刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 中文核心期刊

J4 ›› 2008, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (11): 77-79.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

模糊逻辑系统的非线性组合预测方法与系统误差分析研究

史士英[1] 李涛[2] 张圣[1] 尹义龙[3]   

  • 出版日期:2008-11-01 发布日期:2010-05-19

  • Online:2008-11-01 Published:2010-05-19

摘要:

本文提出一种基于模糊逻辑系统的组合预测方法。其基本思想是利用模糊系统的万能逼近特性,采用模糊Taki Sugeno模型来进行非线性组合预测函数的φ(x)模拟。这种全 新的组合预测方法不仅降低了构造非线性组合预测函数φ(x)的难度,而且使预测精度大大提高。

关键词: 模糊逻辑系统 组合预测 预测精度

Abstract:

A combination forecasting method based on fuzzy logical systems is presented in this paper. The main idea of this method is that the nonliner combinat ion forecasting function φ(x) can be simulated by the Takgi Sugeno fuzzy model. Not only the difficulty of constructing φ(x) is reduced, but also  the prediction precision is improved by the new combination forcasting method.

Key words: fuzzy logical system, combination forecasting ~ prediction precision