• 中国计算机学会会刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 中文核心期刊
论文

A Novel FCMBased Deterministic Forecasting Model for Fuzzy Time Series

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  • (1.Department of Information and Electric Power Engineering,Quzhou College,Quzhou 324000;
    2.School of Computer Science and  Technology,Zhejiang University,Hanzhou 310027,China)

Received date: 2008-12-01

  Revised date: 2009-03-03

  Online published: 2010-06-25

Abstract

The study of fuzzy time series has increasingly attracted much attention due to its salient capabilities of tackling uncertainty and vagueness in data sampling.There have been a variety of models developed to either improve forecasting accuracy or reduce computation overhead. However,the issues of controlling uncertainty in forecasting,effectively partitioning intervals,and consistently achieving forecasting accrucy with different interval lengths have been rarely investigated.In this paper,a novel forecasting model is proposed,because of the disadvantages of other existing forecasting models.A novel forecasting model enhances forecasting functionality and allows the  processing of twofactor forecasting problems.In addition,this model applies fuzzy Cmeans(FCM) clustering to deal with interval partitioning,which takes the nature of data points into account and produces unequalsized intervals.The superior accuracy of the proposed model is demonstrated by experiments by comparing it to other existing models using realworld empirical data.

Cite this article

YU Wenli1,FANG Jianwen2,LIAO Jianpin1 . A Novel FCMBased Deterministic Forecasting Model for Fuzzy Time Series[J]. Computer Engineering & Science, 2010 , 32(7) : 112 -116 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1007130X.2010.

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